Video: Breeders' Cup Challenge prep races
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Saturday, November 1, 2014 Get Advanced PPs »Odds and comments by Mike Watchmaker. |
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Classic » |
Purse: $5,000,000, 1 1/4 miles |
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| # | HORSE | TRAINER | COMMENTS | ODDS | ||
| - | Shared Belief | Jerry Hollendorfer | Faced adversity for first time in the Awesome Again and overcame it; that wil only make him tougher | 5-2 | ||
| - | Bayern | Bob Baffert | He's talented, but feel his Pa. Derby, Haskell wins were bias aided; but if he catches another bias … | 5-1 | ||
| - | California Chrome | Art Sherman | Doesn't like to be stuck down inside, and that's where he was at Parx; still he needs a career-best here | 6-1 | ||
| - | Tonalist | Christophe Clement | Showed he's best as a one run closer with his strong JC Gold Cup win; how will that style play at SA? | 6-1 | ||
| - | Cigar Street | Bill Mott | Wanted to see improvement in second start back, and he delivered; question if he's quite this good | 12-1 | ||
| - | Zivo | Chad Brown | Had significant trouble when second in JC Gold Cup; also wonder how his closing style will do at SA | 12-1 | ||
| - | Moreno | Eric Guillot | Don't think he's fast enough to go with Bayern early, and don't think he's at his best going this far | 15-1 | ||
| - | Toast of New York | Jamie Osborne | Dirt ability is the obvious question; good second to the favorite in his last; potential wise guy horse | 15-1 | ||
| - | V. E. Day | Jimmy Jerkens | Late change of plans to run in this race, and that usually backfires; Travers winner needs a fair track | 15-1 | ||
| - | Majestic Harbor | Sean McCarthy | Has that one huge race at the distance over the track three back; has no other performances like it | 20-1 | ||
| - | Candy Boy | John Sadler | Only really poor showing was in the Derby, and he had big trouble; does seem a notch below, though | 30-1 | ||
| - | Footbridge | Eoin Harty | Consistent, and he does like Santa Anita, but he's another who really looks second tier in this spot | 30-1 | ||
| - | Imperative | George Papaprodromou | Still waiting for him to really run back to that upset of Game On Dude; will likely have to wait longer | 30-1 | ||
| - | Prayer for Relief | Dale Romans | I feel he's actually been better this year than ever, but that doesn't make him good enough for these | 30-1 | ||
| - | Also Eligible (In Order Of Preference): | |||||
| - | Big Cazanova | Peter Miller | Appears severely overmatched, but he does have enough early speed to impact the proceedings | 30-1 | ||
Mile » |
Purse: $2,000,000, 1 mile, turf |
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| # | HORSE | TRAINER | COMMENTS | ODDS | ||
| - | Toronado | Richard Hannon | Takes over the favorite's role in the absence of Wise Dan, and he's worthy; has strong European form | 5-2 | ||
| - | Anodin | Freddie Head | Tough trip on Arc Day and has been close to some good ones, but his actual victories are infrequent | 9-2 | ||
| - | Seek Again | Bill Mott | Had a weird trip in the Shadwell, and was days the best winning two back; seems the best U.S. hope | 6-1 | ||
| - | Karakontie | Jonathan Pease | Had a worse trip in the same race Anodin comes out of; French 2000 Guineas winner is dangerous | 8-1 | ||
| - | Obviously | Philip D'Amato | His speed makes him a threat, but even when he was at his best, he never beat a field this strong | 15-1 | ||
| - | Tom's Tribute | James Cassidy | Emerged as arguably SoCal's best turf miler, but his designed layoff into this is cause for some pause | 15-1 | ||
| - | Trade Storm | David Simcock | Old pro is meeting much tougher than he beat at Woodbine; a decided notch or two below Toronado | 15-1 | ||
| - | Veda | Alain de Royer-Dupre | Seems a notch below the Europeans listed above, but that doesn't mean she can't get a piece of this | 15-1 | ||
| - | Dayatthespa | Chad Brown | The F&M Turf is her first preference even though she's better at this distance; in tough either way | 20-1 | ||
| - | Fiesolana | Willie McCreary | Did win a Group 1 in Ireland two starts back, though it wasn't strong; F&M Turf is first preference | 20-1 | ||
| - | Grand Arch | Brian Lynch | Outside of the Woodbine Mile, he's been sharp in all of his outings this year; up against it here | 20-1 | ||
| - | Kaigun | Mark Casse | Has three particularly nice seconds this year; as for victories, though, he has never won at this level | 20-1 | ||
| - | Mustajeeb | Dermot Weld | Sharp in his return from a summer vacation most recently and is a European price horse with a shot | 20-1 | ||
| - | Summer Front | Christophe Clement | A nice, hard tryer who usually shows up; he's just not as good as the best and mid-range horses here | 20-1 | ||
| - | Also Eligible (In Order Of Preference): | |||||
| - | Sayaad | Kiaran McLaughlin | Improved of late, but still as quite a ways to go before he catches up to the best | 30-1 | ||
| - | Tourist | Bill Mott | Fast second quarter was his undoing in the Secretariat; in line for a big 2015 | 30-1 | ||
| - | Silentio | Gary Mandella | Was a good third in this race last year, but off since August; Turf Sprint is his first choice | 20-1 | ||
| - | Big Bane Theory | Carla Gaines | Won the local prep for this, but did not beat a strong field; has his work cut out for him | 20-1 | ||
| - | Bobby's Kitten | Chad Brown | Gave it a nice try in the Woodbine Mile; better suited to Turf Sprint, his first choice | 30-1 | ||
| - | Kiyoshi | Charles Hills | Was Group 1 class last year at 2, but hasn't been as effective so far this year | 30-1 | ||
| - | Better Lucky | Tom Albertrani | She's had a fine career and this is her best surface; she's just not good enough | 30-1 | ||
| - | Rock Me Baby | Craig Dollase | If you filter out his non-turf races, his form is decent; Turf Sprint his first preference | 30-1 | ||
| - | Kingsbarns | Aidan O'Brien | Back on short rest here, he seems past his better spring and summer form | 30-1 | ||
| - | Mr. Commons | John Shirreffs | Prefers finishing second, which he did in his last two; in too deep, anyway | 30-1 | ||
| - | Handsome Mike | Leandro Mora | He's 5, and it's still hard to pinpoint what he does the best; Dirt Mile is his first choice | 50-1 | ||
Sprint » |
Purse: $1,500,000, 6 furlongs |
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| # | HORSE | TRAINER | COMMENTS | ODDS |
| - | Secret Circle | Bob Baffert | Defending BC Sprint winner ran well in recent return from eight month layoff; very likely to improve | 7-2 |
| - | Rich Tapestry | Michael Chang | Beat Secret Circle in U.S. bow off five month layoff; the goal for him is to avoid a form regression | 4-1 |
| - | Palace | Linda Rice | Was a flat third in Vosburgh after winning two Grade 1s at Saratoga; formidable if able to rebound | 6-1 |
| - | Private Zone | Alfredo Velazquez | Repeated in the Vosburgh in second start off long absence and with the return to dirt; logical player | 6-1 |
| - | Indianapolis | Bob Baffert | Won his recent return from eight month absence to remain unbeaten; steps way up, but has promise | 12-1 |
| - | Reneesgotzip | Peter Miller | Highly talented mare is effective on all surfaces, but it is the Turf Sprint that is her first preference | 12-1 |
| - | Bakken | Chad Brown | Lightly raced and has tremendous potential, but he must perform better than he ever has to contend | 15-1 |
| - | Big Macher | Richard Baltas | Has fine back form, but was dismal in the Pat O'Brien in August and hasn't raced since; not for me | 15-1 |
| - | Work All Week | Roger Brueggemann | He's never beaten horses of the kind he faces in this event; he has also never been beaten on dirt | 15-1 |
| - | Fast Anna | Kathy Ritvo | Also lightly raced, with a bright future, but if he can't beat straight 3yo sprinters, he's in trouble here | 20-1 |
| - | Mico Margarita | Steve Asmussen | As good as ever having won two straight stakes, but that doesn't mean he's up to being a factor here | 20-1 |
| - | Seeking the Sherif | Ron Ellis | Has been a terrific claim and is 7 for 8 in his career on dirt; stepping into an entirely different league | 20-1 |
| - | Bourbon Courage | Kellyn Gorder | Nice comeback score recently at Keeneland, but has never run a race that suggests he can win this | 30-1 |
| - | Salutos Amigos | David Jacobson | Improved off the barn change and relocation to New York, but remains a cut or two below these | 30-1 |
| - | Also Eligible (In Order Of Preference): | |||
| - | Wind Fire | David Brown | Has an Americasn pedigree, but Euro filly has never raced on dirt and is overmatched | 50-1 |
| - | Capo Bastone | Todd Pletcher | Has never run back to his King's Bishop win no matter what he tries; Dirt Mile first choice | 30-1 |
| - | Bahamian Squall | David Fawkes | Regained winning form in his last, yet still has a ways to go to recapture best form | 30-1 |
| - | Indexical | Ben Cecil | Has gone the wrong way since a decent third in the Triple Bend four starts back | 50-1 |
| - | Eddie's First | Leandro Mora | Doesn't have a race on his record that makes him competitive; Turf Sprint first choice | 50-1 |
| - | Mr. Sexy | George Papaprodromou | Besides being overmatched, he seems best on turf or synth; Turf Sprint his first choice | 50-1 |
| - | Bellarmine | Bob Hess Jr. | Claimed for $80K last time off a loss, so why not enter here? Yeah, I don’t get it, either | 50-1 |
Turf » |
Purse: $3,000,000, 1 1/2 miles, turf |
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| # | HORSE | TRAINER | COMMENTS | ODDS |
| - | Flintshire | Andre Fabre | If this Group 1 winner runs back to his second in the Arc a few weeks ago, the others are in trouble | 7-2 |
| - | Telescope | Michael Stoute | Classy European has been pointing to this for months and like Flintshire, he is in brilliant hands | 5-1 |
| - | Magician | Aidan O'Brien | The 2013 BC Turf winner was too close early in the Arlington Million even if the fractions were slow | 6-1 |
| - | Main Sequence | Graham Motion | Has fought his way to win three straight Grade 1 photos in his three U.S. starts; don't underestimate | 6-1 |
| - | Brown Panther | Tom Dascombe | Irish St. Leger winner only here because he ran off before the Can. International, and was scratched | 12-1 |
| - | Hardest Core | Edward Graham | Upset winner of the Arl. Million brings many great stories, but must confirm his big win was no fluke | 12-1 |
| - | Secret Gesture | Ralph Beckett | Narrowly missed in a Group 2 against males two back, but the F&M Turf is her first preference | 12-1 |
| - | Imagining | Shug McGaughey | Hard hitter is better than ever, but I'm not sure he wants to go this far at this level of competition | 15-1 |
| - | Just The Judge | Charles Hills | Back on short rest after winning the E. P. Taylor; however, the F&M Turf is also her first choice | 15-1 |
| - | Twilight Eclipse | Tom Albertrani | Also a hard hitter, and also as good as he's ever been, but the opposition gets much deeper here | 15-1 |
| - | Big Blue Kitten | Chad Brown | His gaining second in the Canadian International was his best effort this year; back in only two weeks | 20-1 |
| - | Chicquita | Aidan O'Brien | Another who will be running back quickly after hitting the board in a British Champions Day event | 20-1 |
| - | Big John B | Philip D'Amato | In raging form since being claimed early this year, but his third in the local prep says he's overmatched | 30-1 |
| - | Hangover Kid | Jason Servis | Has been close to Imagining and Big Blue Kitten in the past, but that won't get it done in this race | 30-1 |
| - | Also Eligible (In Order Of Preference): | |||
| - | Finnegans Wake | Peter Miller | Did finish second in the local prep, which wasn't strong; has never been this good | 30-1 |
| - | Starspangled Heat | Barry Abrams | Been struggling all year to find his form and it's unlikely he'll locate it in this event | 30-1 |
Juvenile » |
Purse: $2,000,000, 1 1/16 miles |
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| # | HORSE | TRAINER | COMMENTS | ODDS |
| - | American Pharoah | Bob Baffert | Dominant winner of Gr. 1s in last two, including the FrontRunner over the track; a deserving favorite | 5-2 |
| - | Daredevil | Todd Pletcher | Impressed taking Champagne with big Beyer; both wins on wet tracks, but said to be fine on fast, too | 7-2 |
| - | Carpe Diem | Todd Pletcher | Predictably romped in the Breeders' Futurity off the stretch out given his pedigree shouts distance | 5-1 |
| - | One Lucky Dane | Bob Baffert | Crushed maidens in fast time over the track in first start on dirt; a threat with only slight improvement | 12-1 |
| - | Upstart | Rick Violette Jr. | Gamely chased Daredevil in Champagne after showing potential winning first two starts over NY breds | 12-1 |
| - | Calculator | Peter Miller | Was game finishing second to 'Pharoah' in those Gr. 1s; probably the best 2yo maiden in the country | 15-1 |
| - | Souper Colossal | Eddie Plesa Jr. | Won all three of his starts at Mth, including the Sapling, an early season route for these; not out of it | 15-1 |
| - | War Envoy | Aidan O'Brien | Hit the board in three Group stakes and barn must be respected; Juvenile Turf is his first preference | 15-1 |
| - | Lucky Player | Steve Asmussen | Won the Iroquois, another early season route stake, but that was against much softer company | 20-1 |
| - | Mr. Z | D. Wayne Lukas | Easily second best in the Breeders' Futurity, but was also beaten a long way; looks overmatched | 20-1 |
| - | Texas Red | Keith Desormeaux | Some liked his third in the FrontRunner in his first start on dirt, but it seemed like a clunk up to me | 20-1 |
| - | The Great War | Aidan O'Brien | Has been below group stakes level quality so far, and would now go long on dirt; no thanks | 20-1 |
| - | Danny Boy | Dale Romans | Didn't have a perfect trip in the relatively soft Iroquois; better on turf; Juvenile Turf first preference | 30-1 |
| - | Private Prospect | Michael Campbell | Turned into a profitable claim, but as tenacious as he is, he seems to be in way over his head here | 30-1 |
| - | Also Eligible (In Order Of Preference): | |||
| - | Tough Customer | Wayne Catalano | Finished a distant fourth in the Breeders' Futurity; can't see him turning that completely around | 30-1 |
| - | Combat Diver | Gary Contessa | Got his maiden win game style at Belmont, but nothing about that race says he belongs here | 30-1 |
| - | Blue Dancer | Greg Tracy | The pride of central Canada would need to improve about 40 Beyer points to keep step with these | 30-1 |
Turf Sprint » |
Purse: $1,000,000, about 6 1/2 furlongs, turf |
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| # | HORSE | TRAINER | COMMENTS | ODDS |
| - | Reneesgotzip | Peter Miller | Ran very well hitting the board in this race the last two years; sharp in her prep; third time the charm? | 4-1 |
| - | Silentio | Gary Mandella | Has never started on the downhill because he's been competitive with stronger milers; dangerous | 5-1 |
| - | Kaigun | Mark Casse | His sprint win on grass three back says he fits here, but the Mile is the race that is his first preference | 6-1 |
| - | No Nay Never | Wesley Ward | Won the Woodford off seven month absence to remain perfect on turf; has no downhill experience | 8-1 |
| - | Bobby's Kitten | Chad Brown | His third in the Woodbine Mile was a good effort, and he's interesting off the distance turnback | 10-1 |
| - | Sweet Swap | John Sadler | Tough spot to return from a seven month layoff, but he's proven on the dowhill and runs well fresh | 10-1 |
| - | Caspar Netscher | David Simcock | Wheeling back quickly after winning the Nearctic, a performance far better than his recent Euro tries | 12-1 |
| - | Ambitious Brew | Martin Jones | Nosed in the Eddie D., the local prep for this; can certainly improve second start off 7 month layoff | 15-1 |
| - | Home Run Kitten | David Hofmans | Got up in the Eddie D., showing improvement off the cut back in distance others are emulating here | 15-1 |
| - | Tightend Touchdown | Jason Servis | Was a dead-heat second in this last year with Reneesgotzip; light recent work tab is cause for pause | 15-1 |
| - | Undrafted | Wesley Ward | Has a license to improve off a third in his return following a fourth in a Gr. 1 at Newmarket in July | 15-1 |
| - | Dimension | Conor Murphy | Signalled a return to top form with his recent KD win; was a non-threatening fifth in this race last year | 20-1 |
| - | Something Extra | Gail Cox | Little really wrong with his form, it's just that contention here runs so deep, and he has no real edge | 20-1 |
| - | Marchman | Keith Desormeaux | Another who is eligible to improve off his recent return from a freshening, but he will have to | 30-1 |
| - | Also Eligible (In Order Of Preference): | |||
| - | Free as a Bird | Ian Wilkes | Looking for her sixth straight; would have better luck getting it in a much softer spot | 30-1 |
| - | Ageless | Arnaud Delacour | Developed into a useful turf sprinter, but would be facing much, much better here | 30-1 |
| - | Living The Life | Gary Mandella | Her turf record is lacking; spent most of her U.K. career on synth; F&M Sprint first choice | 20-1 |
| - | Za Approval | Christophe Clement | Was second to Wise Dan in the Mile last year; his form this year has slipped a bit | 15-1 |
| - | Rock Me Baby | Craig Dollase | His form this year has been clouded by dirt and synth starts; a notch below, though | 20-1 |
| - | Bio Pro | Bill Mott | Has come to hand in his recent races for top outfit, but is out of his element here | 20-1 |
| - | Regally Ready | Steve Asmussen | Won the 2011 Turf Sprint, in best form since, loves the downhill; burying him here is a huge mistake | 6-1 |
| - | Lil Bit O'Fun | Philip D'Amato | Was a creditable third in the Eddie D., but that's his ceiling, and this is tougher | 20-1 |
| - | Unbridled's Note | Steve Asmussen | Has run well in this race at SA in the past, but his comeback effort was not inspiring | 20-1 |
| - | Wind Fire | David Brown | Sprint is the first preference for turf-raced Euro whose Group stakes efforts are so so | 30-1 |
| - | Global Power | Bob Hess Jr. | Has changed barns so often his head must be spinning; doesn't fit in this spot | 50-1 |
| - | Indexical | Ben Cecil | Won his only downhill attempt, but going the wrong way recently; Sprint first choice | 30-1 |
| - | Heaven's Runway | Jimmy Toner | Only marginally effective against much weaker company; in way too deep | 30-1 |
| - | Eddie's First | Leandro Mora | Was outrun in the Eddie D., and there's little reason to expect a better effort here | 30-1 |
| - | Mr. Sexy | George Papaprodromou | Also outrun in the Eddie D., which means he is seriously overmatched in this race | 30-1 |
Filly & Mare Sprint » |
Purse: $1,000,000, 7 furlongs |
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| # | HORSE | TRAINER | COMMENTS | ODDS |
| - | Judy the Beauty | Wesley Ward | Was a close second to the mighty Groupie Doll in this race last year, and her form this year is solid | 3-1 |
| - | Midnight Lucky | Bob Baffert | Comes into this off a six month layoff; then again, she won the Humana Distaff off 11 month layoff | 7-2 |
| - | Artemis Agrotera | Mike Hushion | Brilliant winning the Ballerina, but dropped alarmingly far back early before winning Gallant Bloom | 5-1 |
| - | Sweet Reason | Leah Gyarmati | Made top 3yo filly Untapable run at Parx, and now suitably cuts back to sprint; Beyers are a little light | 6-1 |
| - | Leigh Court | Josie Carroll | Granted, she was beating softer, but her win in the TCA was a strong performance; live price horse | 8-1 |
| - | Stonetastic | Kelly Breen | Might have regressed off big Prioress score when third in the TCA; must bounce back big time here | 10-1 |
| - | Better Lucky | Tom Albertrani | Think she's much better on turf or synthetic surfaces, and would need a complete pace collapse | 15-1 |
| - | Little Alexis | Carlo Vaccarezza | Was beaten only a length by Sweet Reason in the Test Stakes and has lots of room for improvement | 15-1 |
| - | Living The Life | Gary Mandella | She is 2 for 2 since coming to the U. S., but is an unknown on dirt, and needs to improve, anyway | 15-1 |
| - | Southern Honey | Rusty Arnold | Soundly beaten when second in the TCA and would have to run many lengths better than she ever has | 20-1 |
| - | Thank You Marylou | Mike Maker | Failed to run back to her lengthy Dogwood score with blinkers two back in her most recent outing | 20-1 |
Filly and Mare Turf » |
Purse: $2,000,000, 1 1/4 miles, turf |
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| # | HORSE | TRAINER | COMMENTS | ODDS |
| - | Dank | Michael Stoute | Winner of this race last year was outrun in her two starts this year vs. top company; idle since June | 4-1 |
| - | Tarfasha | Dermot Weld | Runner up in the Epsom Oaks last June retains sharp current form, but will she like very firm turf? | 5-1 |
| - | Secret Gesture | Ralph Beckett | High class European has been worse than third just once in her career and might like firm footing | 6-1 |
| - | Stephanie's Kitten | Chad Brown | Top American hope gained her first career victory at this distance in Flower Bowl; meeting tougher | 6-1 |
| - | Just The Judge | Charles Hills | Back on short rest after winning the E. P. Taylor; her Beyer was good, but the field she beat was iffy | 8-1 |
| - | Chicquita | Aidan O'Brien | Also back on short rest after hitting the board on British Champion Day; Turf is her first preference | 12-1 |
| - | Veda | Alain de Royer-Dupre | Mile is the first preference for this Gr. 1 placed filly; makes sense, all six of her starts were at a mile | 12-1 |
| - | Abaco | Shug McGaughey | Ultra consistent, but her late kick might have more punch going shorter, and she's in with better now | 15-1 |
| - | Dayatthespa | Chad Brown | Never envisioned her being a 10 furlong horse, but her First Lady win last time was one of her best | 20-1 |
| - | Emollient | Bill Mott | Blinkers on helped her win the local prep at distance over course, but she must improve to contend | 20-1 |
| - | Fiesolana | Willie McCreary | This would be a big stretch out in distance for her, but she won an Irish Group 1 two starts back | 20-1 |
| - | L'Amour de Ma Vie | Pia Brandt | Disappointed as a heavy favorite in Italy most recently; seems a cut below; Distaff first preference | 20-1 |
| - | Miss Serendipity | Ron McAnally | Can forgive her last because of a bad post and her prior form is okay; question if she's good enough | 20-1 |
| - | Parranda | Jerry Hollendorfer | Another who is as consistent as can be, but she will have to really raise her game to get in the mix | 20-1 |
| - | Also Eligible (In Order Of Preference): | |||
| - | Irish Mission | Christophe Clement | The other dead-heat third in the Rodeo Drive; hard hitter has never been this good | 30-1 |
| - | Rusty Slipper | Graham Motion | Dead-heat third in Rodeo Drive was her best yet, and she must do much better here | 30-1 |
| - | Stormy Lucy | Ed Moger Jr. | Has had some tough trips, but she has never won a race against this kind; overmatched | 30-1 |
Juvenile Fillies » |
Purse: $2,000,000, 1 1/16 miles |
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| # | HORSE | TRAINER | COMMENTS | ODDS |
| - | Angela Renee | Todd Pletcher | Raised her game in her first try at two turns, winning the Chandelier at the distance over the track | 3-1 |
| - | Conquest Eclipse | Mark Casse | Wasn't as good as Angela Renee in the Chandelier, but was easily second best; can certainly improve | 5-1 |
| - | Top Decile | Al Stall Jr. | Close second in Alcibiades, rallying while the race was slowing; still ran well in just her second start | 6-1 |
| - | By the Moon | Michelle Nevin | Out-staggered them through very slow final quarter in Frizette, and now stretches out to two turns | 8-1 |
| - | Cristina's Journey | Dale Romans | Yet to run fast, but she showed something winning the Pocahontas, an early route stake for this group | 8-1 |
| - | Feathered | Todd Pletcher | Was an okay third in the Frizette, but must do better while also stretching out to contend in this spot | 12-1 |
| - | Puca | Bill Mott | Drowned maidens in her first opportunity to go long on dirt; interesting despite the big leap in class | 10-1 |
| - | Wonder Gal | Leah Gyarmati | Liked her third in the Adirondack (behind Cavorting, Angela Renee) better than her second in Frizette | 12-1 |
| - | She's Complete | Leandro Mora | Stakes winner on turf, but has never run on dirt; her first race preference is the Juvenile Fillies Turf | 15-1 |
| - | Danette | Keith Desormeaux | Maiden was soundly beaten when third in the Chandelier; someone had to be third in that event | 20-1 |
| - | Majestic Presence | Jerry Hollendorfer | Her fourth in the Chandelier wasn't bad as she had a wide trip from a tough post, and middle moved | 20-1 |
| - | Hennythelovepenny | Peter Miller | Was 28-1 in her recent maiden win in her first attempt on dirt, but the Beyer Figure was very low | 30-1 |
| - | Take Charge Brandi | D. Wayne Lukas | Got the staggers in the stretch in both of her starts around two turns; don't envision improvement | 30-1 |
| - | Also Eligible (In Order Of Preference): | |||
| - | Lady Zuzu | D. Wayne Lukas | Nearly distanced in her only start on dirt in the slop; Juvenile Fillies Turf is her first preference | 30-1 |
Friday, October 31, 2014 Get Advanced PPs »Odds and comments by Brad Free. |
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Distaff |
Purse: $2,000,000, 1 1/8 miles |
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| # | HORSE | TRAINER | COMMENTS | ODDS |
| - | Untapable, 3, f | Steve Asmussen | Kentucky Oaks winner settled well SA, brilliant work Oct. 19, set for smashing conclusion to stellar campaign | 2-1 |
| - | Close Hatches, 4, f | William Mott | Spinster was expected formality, uncharacteristic misfire casts doubt on form, Mott won this race 5 times | 5-2 |
| - | Don't Tell Sophia, 6, m | Phil Sims | Consistent mare has won 8 of 13 over past two years, Spinster upset puts in picture, first SA starter for Sims | 6-1 |
| - | Belle Gallantey, 5, m | Rudy Rodriguez | Responded to Rudy Rodriguez magic, two G1's and $851k since claimed for $35k, sports top last-race Beyer | 8-1 |
| - | Iotapa, 4, f | John Sadler | Front-runner missed break and lost chance in Zenyatta, also bled, may have peaked in spring-summer | 10-1 |
| - | Tiz Midnight, 4, f | Bob Baffert | Improving filly benefitted from pace scenario in first graded stakes, getting good at right time of year | 12-1 |
| - | Parranda, 5, m | Jerry Hollendorfer | Turf specialist reportedly training super SA dirt track, first preference F&M Turf, not impossible here | 15-1 |
| - | Ria Antonia, 3, f | Tom Amoss | Upset winner via dq 2013 BC Juvenile Fillies at SA is back in form, improved with blinkers | 15-1 |
| - | Stanwyck, 5, m | John Shirreffs | G1-placed stretch-runner needs the speed to stop; hails from Team Zenyatta connections | 20-1 |
| - | Valiant Emilia, 5, m | Gary Mandella | Earned berth winning BC Challenge race in Peru, gearing up for North American debut | 30-1 |
| - | Unbridled Forever | Dallas Stewart | Began sophomore season with much promise, development seems to have stalled | 30-1 |
| - | L'Amour de Ma Vie, 5, m | Pia Brandt | European turf mare cross-entered in F&M Turf, turf imports have not fared well in Distaff | 30-1 |
Juvenile Turf » |
Purse: $1,000,000, 1 miles, turf |
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| # | HORSE | TRAINER | COMMENTS | ODDS |
| - | Hootenanny, 2, c | Wesley Ward | Began career in Kentucky, G1-placed in France, firing bullets in a.m., will be making first start beyond 6f | 9-2 |
| - | War Envoy, 2, c | Aidan O'Brien | History sides with Group-placed European, last six winners this race made previous start outside U.S. | 5-1 |
| - | Aktabantay, 2, c | Hugo Palmer | G3 winner in U.K. encountered eventful trip finishing directly behind War Envoy last out G1 in France | 6-1 |
| - | Imperia, 2, c | Kiaran McLaughlin | Sharp maiden win G3 BEL in second start, produced by top mare Cocoa Beach, she won G1's dirt and turf | 8-1 |
| - | Luck of the Kitten, 2, c | Wesley Ward | Impressive win over the course vs. weak California 2yos, front-runner likely the one they have to catch | 8-1 |
| - | Conquest Typhoon, 2, c | Mark Casse | Carried 10 lbs more than winner in recent prep, G2 Summer two back impressive, looms upset candidate | 10-1 |
| - | Commemorative, 2, c | C.B. Hills | Rapidly improving UK shipper, G3 last out was just third start, possesses tactical speed to make own trip | 10-1 |
| - | International Star, 2, c | Mike Maker | Beneficial weight break winning G3 on synthetic, also G2-placed on turf, will be rolling from back of pack | 12-1 |
| - | Startup Nation, 2, c | Chad Brown | Misfired with inside trip in last, G3 crusher two back was among season's most impressive turf wins 2yo | 12-1 |
| - | Lawn Ranger, 2, c | Ken McPeek | Followed maiden victory with G3 upset at KEE, top Midwest trainer long overdue for a BC win | 15-1 |
| - | Danny Boy, 2, c | Dale Romans | Runner-up in seemingly shallow KEE stakes, closed into slow fractions, rates longshot consideration | 15-1 |
| - | Wet Sail, 2, c | C. Fellowes | Campaigned on lesser tracks in England, third in 23-horse race last out, won 13-runner field prior | 20-1 |
| - | Offering Plan, 2, c | Chad Brown | Trainer has won at least 14 turf races this year with 2yos, okay third last out in G3 BEL | 20-1 |
| - | The Great War, 2, c | Aidan O'Brien | Million-dollar colt from Europe has Juvenile listed first preference, top connections | 8-1 |
| - | Others listed in order of preference | |||
| - | Daddy D T, 2, r | John Sadler | Dirt-race debacle can be forgiven, trained well since, stakes winner on turf against suspect SoCal rivals | 15-1 |
| - | Faithful Creek, 2, c | Brian Meehan | Shipper appears to be cut below Euro counterparts, English trainer owns two BC wins (2006 + 2010 Turf) | 12-1 |
| - | Papacoolpapacool, 2, c | Jeff Mullins | Benefitted from easy lead winning maiden race over course, no easy leads here | 30-1 |
| - | Ernest Shakleton, 2, c | J. Harrington | Handicap-caliber shipper from Ireland seems to be overmatched against this group | 20-1 |
| - | Miltee, 2, c | Simon Callaghan | Maiden gradually improved, could turn into something, entered SA msw Oct. 23 | 30-1 |
Dirt Mile |
Purse: $1,000,000, 1 mile |
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| # | HORSE | TRAINER | COMMENTS | ODDS |
| - | Goldencents, 4, c | Leandro Mora | Front-runner figures to clear field, won this race 2013 same way, stretches out from good sprint runner-up | 8-5 |
| - | Fed Biz, 5, h | Bob Baffert | Likely positioned closest to favorite, would get first run, gave tag-team scare to BC Classic favorite last out | 5-2 |
| - | Pants On Fire, 6, h | Kelly Breen | Better than looked effort this race 2013, lightly raced 2014, series of triple-digit Beyer figures to run to | 6-1 |
| - | Tapiture, 3, c | Steve Asmussen | Quietly earned $1 million this year, shortens to one mile following two good efforts mile and eighth | 8-1 |
| - | Vicar's in Trouble, 3, c | Mike Maker | Pace-pressing style could play well in field with only limited number of legitimate front-runners | 12-1 |
| - | Carve, 4, g | Brad Cox | Earned speed figures in Midwest that command respect, faces class challenge against this group | 12-1 |
| - | Bronzo, 5, h | J.A. Inda De La Cerda | Group 1 winner in Chile romped twice in spring and summer, tough spot in which to make U.S. debut | 20-1 |
| - | Golden Ticket, 5, h | Ken McPeek | Deep closer runner-up this race 2013, needs meltdown to flatter rally, pace scenario against him | 20-1 |
| - | Capo Bastone, 4, c | Todd Pletcher | Late-running sprinter has run his best races around one turn, pick-up-the-pieces running style | 20-1 |
| - | Bourbon Courage, 5, h | Kellyn Gorder | Campaign 2014 below par compared to 2013, but big N3X allowance victory recent comeback | 20-1 |
| - | Big Bane Theory, 5, h | Carla Gaines | Never raced on dirt, no reason son of turf/synthetic sire Artie Schiller will improve this footing | 30-1 |
| - | Handsome Mike, 5, h | Leandro Mora | Would be a shocker, allowance-caliber millionaire appears notch below these days | 30-1 |
Juvenile Fillies Turf » |
Purse: $1,000,000, 1 mile, turf |
|||
| # | HORSE | TRAINER | COMMENTS | ODDS |
| - | Sunset Glow | Wesley Ward | International star based in Kentucky freshened since sweeping DMR stakes, will stretch to route first time | 7-2 |
| - | Osaila | Richard Hannon | Popular filly in Europe won last three stakes in which she has been favored, among good group of ship-ins | 4-1 |
| - | Qualify | Aidan O'Brien | Improved as Irish racing season unfolded, capped overseas campaign with sharp win G3 at The Curragh | 4-1 |
| - | Lady Eli | Chad Brown | Powered to stylish G3 victory BEL in just second start, form similar to 2008 JFT winner Maram same stable | 8-1 |
| - | Conquest Harlanate | Mark Casse | Reeled off three straight in Canada, competition gets a lot tougher now, versatile miss can press or rally | 8-1 |
| - | Isabella Sings | Todd Pletcher | Followed front-running maiden win with come-from-behind runner-up WO, off seven weeks, runs fresh | 10-1 |
| - | Sivoliere | Chad Brown | Working well at BEL for U.S. debut, , won 3 of 5, trainer historically does well with overseas acquisitions | 15-1 |
| - | Tammy the Torpedo | Chad Brown | Outstanding debut victory was followed by disappointing third in G3, too soon to dismiss off one subar race | 15-1 |
| - | Partisan Politics | Chad Brown | Far-back misfire off slow pace G3 BEL, big score two back $100k stakes gives her credentials | 20-1 |
| - | She's Complete | Leandro Mora | No match for Her Emmynency in SA stakes, unsure if good enough for international competition | 20-1 |
| - | Rainha Da Bateria | Graham Motion | Has yet to run a fast race but decent recent win G3 KEE over "good" course in first with Lasix | 20-1 |
| - | Quality Rocks | Bill Mott | First turf-route try was good, chased fast pace, made lead, got swallowed, plenty room to improve | 30-1 |
| - | Lady Zuzu | D. Wayne Lukas | Powerful maiden win first turf route, half-sister to Optimizer found her home long on grass | 30-1 |
| - | Her Emmynency | Michael Stidham | Colic this week, will not enter, key defection by promising young filly | None |
| - | Others listed in order of preference | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| - | Prize Exhibit | James Osborne | Eight career starts makes UK shipper most seasoned in field, best race was G3 third last out Newmarket | 15-1 |
| - | Nicky's Brown Miss | Savino Capilupi | Finished 10th of 11 in G3 BEL, previously upset $199k stakes Kentucky Downs, can pick up pieces | 30-1 |
| - | Flying Tipat | Dale Romans | Blanket-finish maiden winner KEE another moving up ambitiously in class, packs strong late kick | 30-1 |
| - | War Alert | D.H. Brown | Her European form does not stack up as well as others, best race was fifth place in G3 | 30-1 |
| - | Unbridled Sonya | David Cannizzo | Maiden winner 7f BEL attempting monumental class hike, seems lot to ask off okay maiden win | 30-1 |